Cijena ETH rizikuje pad od 20% ako se ključni nivo podrške probije

Eterski (ETH) rally versus Bitcoin (BTC) is not only showing signs of exhaustion but is also in danger of breaking below a key technical support level. 

ETH slides vs. BTC in the second half of January

The ETH/BTC pair declined nearly 9.25% on Jan. 24 from its local top of 0.0779 BTC established on Jan. 11. Since the start of the year, Bitcoin has been slightly outpacing Ether in terms of United States dollars, rising 38% versus 35%, respectively.

Interestingly, Ether’s pullback versus Bitcoin has landed its price at the bottom of its EMA ribbon range, as shown below.

The EMA ribbon indicator shows numerous exponential moving averages of increasing timeframe on the same price chart. Dropping below the ribbon range increases an asset’s likelihood of seeing an extended down-move.

In other words, breaking lower would increase its possibility of declining by more than 20% from its current price levels.

Conversely, rising above the ribbon range raises the asset’s chances of a broader rally.

Ether’s price capped by key descending trendline

This week, ETH/BTC dropped to the 55-week exponential moving average (the red wave) — a bottom wave — of its EMA ribbon indicator, as shown below. Buyers took control near the 55-week EMA, prompting Ether to recover a mere 0.35% versus Bitcoin to 0.0708 BTC on Jan. 24.

Povezano: Ova ciljna cijena od 25 BTC bi predstavljala bijedu za bitkoin kraće

But now, the likelihood of retesting the EMA ribbon bottom is high due to a multi-month descending trendline resistance (black trendline in the chart below), where sellers have been more active as of late.

Therefore, one cannot rule out the possibility of ETH/BTC breaking below the EMA ribbon range, similar to how the pair did in May 2022 in the wake of the Terra kolaps.

Back then, Ether fell by over 25% versus Bitcoin to 0.0490, a level coinciding with its 200-week EMA (the blue wave). 

Therefore, if a similar breakdown occurs in the coming weeks, the ETH/BTC pair may test the 200-week EMA near 0.0550 BTC as its primary downside target, or roughly a 20% price drop from current levels. 

Ovaj članak ne sadrži investicijske savjete ili preporuke. Svaki potez ulaganja i trgovanja uključuje rizik, a čitatelji bi trebali provesti vlastito istraživanje prilikom donošenja odluke.