'Potencijalno dramatično'—Bitcoin bi mogao dostići 1.3 miliona dolara u ovom radikalnom scenariju predviđanja cijene kripto

Bitcoin, after soaring to never-before-seen highs last year, has somewhat stalled so far in 2022—though traders are braced for “big surprises” this week.

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The bitcoin price has dropped to under $50,000 per bitcoin, down from highs of almost $70,000 late last year as Russia’s war in Ukraine sent shockwaves through global markets.

Now, one crypto price prediction has forecast a potential bitcoin price of $1.3 million—calling the “upside” for gold and bitcoin “potentially dramatic.”

Želite li ostati ispred tržišta i razumjeti najnovije vijesti o kriptovalutama? Prijavite se odmah besplatno CryptoCodex-Dnevni bilten za kripto investitore i kripto znatiželjnike

VIŠE OD FORBESAKripto bum od 600 milijardi dolara: predviđanje cijene bitkoina i "smanjivanje ponude" EthereumaBy Billy Bambrough

“Our emerging markets bond investment team attempted to quantify the emergence of new gold or bitcoin-backed currency regimes,” analysts at investment manager Van Eck wrote in bilješka this week, pointing to money changing as a result of “sanctions on Russia’s central bank” that eliminated its U.S. dollar, euro and yen reserves.

“The bottom-line is that the upside for gold and bitcoin is potentially dramatic. Specifically, the framework estimates gold prices of around $31,000 per ounce and potential Bitcoin prices of around $1.3 million per coin. Adjusting for greater strains on financial and monetary systems generates even higher prices.”

However, the note authors Eric Fine, head of active emerging market debt and Natalia Gurushina, chief economist on emerging markets fixed income strategy at Van Eck, cautioned that “the prices generated in this extreme scenario in which either gold or bitcoin become the reserve asset obviously need to be adjusted downward—they are just a starting point.”

“The upside on crypto seems much higher (around 33x) than that on gold (around 16x), although gold is the more straightforward initial response by central banks in particular,” the analysts wrote. “However, individual actors may be faster to act.”

Prijavite se sada za CryptoCodex-Besplatni dnevni bilten za kripto znatiželjnike

VIŠE OD FORBESAIzdato hitno upozorenje o krađi kripto za milijarde korisnika Androida i iPhonea - U tijeku su napadi na Coinbase i MetamaskBy Billy Bambrough

Expectations that countries and central banks could begin buying bitcoin and crypto have grown in recent months, first sparked by El Salvador’s bitcoin adoption and then by strict financial sanctions placed on Russia that include it being booted from the global interbank payment network SWIFT and much of its central bank foriegn reserves being seized.

U januaru je gigant sa Wall Streeta Fidelity predvidio da bi druge zemlje, pa čak i centralna banka, mogle pratiti El Salvador u bitcoin ove godine—rekavši da će oni koji kupuju bitcoin dok je cijena niska “biti konkurentniji od svojih vršnjaka”.

"Ovdje je u igri teorija igara s vrlo visokim ulozima, prema kojoj ako se usvajanje bitcoina poveća, zemlje koje danas osiguraju neke bitcoine će biti konkurentnije od svojih kolega", napisali su analitičari Fidelityja Chris Kuiper i Jack Neureuter u bilješka, dodajući da „ne bi bili iznenađeni da vide druge suverene nacionalne države kako preuzimaju bitkoin 2022. godine i možda čak vide kako centralna banka vrši akviziciju“.